Wednesday, June 8, 2016

Alternative thinking on unreasonable expectations, bad content models and the election

In a piece subtly titled “Institutional Investors are Delusional,” Meb Faber points out that the mean expectations in a poll of investors on net returns is 13%. That would require a gross return of 20%. Just 1% of more than 400 respondents (so just four people) are rational.

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